The Predictive Validity of the Baccalaureate Exam English Test


Authors : Bamogo Yacouba ; Dr. Sanon/Emilie Ouattara ; Dr. Kambou Kwado Moses

Volume/Issue : Volume 8 - 2023, Issue 6 - June

Google Scholar : https://bit.ly/3TmGbDi

Scribd : https://tinyurl.com/3t4zcjz8

DOI : https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8174150

Abstract : The objective of the study is to find out the predictive power of the 2019 and 2020 Baccalaureate exam English test. Using a whole class design the performances of 415 and 62 students in the Baccalaureate have been correlated with their performance in Semester one University studies in the Department of Anglophone Studies. Analysing with the statistical package R, the descriptive statistics of the results shows that for the cohort 2019, 358 students (86.27%) decreased in performance and 43 students (69.35%) for the cohort 2020. The students’ mean scores at the Baccalaureate are above the ones in semester one. Comparing them, the difference is statistically significant at p < .05 for the cohort 2019 and p < .05 for the cohort 2020. This means that the Baccalaureate exams have invalid predictive power. These exams could not foresee candidates’ future performance. It is because either they are of bad quality or there is no link between what is taught in the second cycle and what is studied in English at university. When questioned to find out the challenges to cope with university courses, students said that the main hurdle is note taking, then comprehending spoken English from their lecturers, reading novel and understanding them, the quality of the loud speaker sound, and holding a conversation with their teachers. These difficulties entail that they have not been prepared in the second cycle in those language skills. So, suggestions were made to teach the listening, reading and note-taking skills in addition to associating technicians of sound in the auditoriums building design.

Keywords : Validity; Predictive Power; Baccalaureate Exam.

The objective of the study is to find out the predictive power of the 2019 and 2020 Baccalaureate exam English test. Using a whole class design the performances of 415 and 62 students in the Baccalaureate have been correlated with their performance in Semester one University studies in the Department of Anglophone Studies. Analysing with the statistical package R, the descriptive statistics of the results shows that for the cohort 2019, 358 students (86.27%) decreased in performance and 43 students (69.35%) for the cohort 2020. The students’ mean scores at the Baccalaureate are above the ones in semester one. Comparing them, the difference is statistically significant at p < .05 for the cohort 2019 and p < .05 for the cohort 2020. This means that the Baccalaureate exams have invalid predictive power. These exams could not foresee candidates’ future performance. It is because either they are of bad quality or there is no link between what is taught in the second cycle and what is studied in English at university. When questioned to find out the challenges to cope with university courses, students said that the main hurdle is note taking, then comprehending spoken English from their lecturers, reading novel and understanding them, the quality of the loud speaker sound, and holding a conversation with their teachers. These difficulties entail that they have not been prepared in the second cycle in those language skills. So, suggestions were made to teach the listening, reading and note-taking skills in addition to associating technicians of sound in the auditoriums building design.

Keywords : Validity; Predictive Power; Baccalaureate Exam.

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