Stability in Sight: Leveraging Machine Learning for Proactive Political Risk Management in the United States of America


Authors : Anya Adebayo, ANYA; Kelechi Adura, ANYA; Akinwale Victor, ISHOLA

Volume/Issue : Volume 9 - 2024, Issue 9 - September

Google Scholar : https://shorturl.at/ww2CJ

Scribd : https://shorturl.at/mUgON

DOI : https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/IJISRT24SEP1316

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Abstract : This paper explores the application of machine learning (ML) in political risk management, with a specific focus on recent trends in political violence in the United States OF America. The growing intersection of political polarization, disinformation, and societal unrest has created a volatile political climate, as evidenced by events such as the January 6 Capitol insurrection and rising threats to public officials. The paper argues that machine learning could play a critical role in mitigating such risks by analyzing large datasets, including social media interactions, political speeches, and public sentiment, to predict potential flashpoints of violence. Through predictive analytics, sentiment analysis, and anomaly detection, ML can enhance decision-making processes and provide timely interventions to avert violent incidents. Additionally, case studies demonstrate ML’s superiority over traditional methods in risk assessments. Despite the challenges associated with ML, such as data privacy concerns, algorithmic bias, and the complexity of political contexts, this paper argues that machine learning holds immense potential in transforming political risk management. By integrating diverse data sources and refining risk models, ML can significantly improve accuracy and efficiency in predicting and mitigating political risks. The paper concludes with recommendations for further integrating ML tools in political risk strategies to address the increasingly unstable political environment.

Keywords : Machine Learning, Political Risk, Political Instability.

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This paper explores the application of machine learning (ML) in political risk management, with a specific focus on recent trends in political violence in the United States OF America. The growing intersection of political polarization, disinformation, and societal unrest has created a volatile political climate, as evidenced by events such as the January 6 Capitol insurrection and rising threats to public officials. The paper argues that machine learning could play a critical role in mitigating such risks by analyzing large datasets, including social media interactions, political speeches, and public sentiment, to predict potential flashpoints of violence. Through predictive analytics, sentiment analysis, and anomaly detection, ML can enhance decision-making processes and provide timely interventions to avert violent incidents. Additionally, case studies demonstrate ML’s superiority over traditional methods in risk assessments. Despite the challenges associated with ML, such as data privacy concerns, algorithmic bias, and the complexity of political contexts, this paper argues that machine learning holds immense potential in transforming political risk management. By integrating diverse data sources and refining risk models, ML can significantly improve accuracy and efficiency in predicting and mitigating political risks. The paper concludes with recommendations for further integrating ML tools in political risk strategies to address the increasingly unstable political environment.

Keywords : Machine Learning, Political Risk, Political Instability.

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