Impact of Domestic Investments on Agricultural Production in Nigeria


Authors : Sajo Sani Alhaji; Suleiman Purokayo Gambiyo

Volume/Issue : Volume 8 - 2023, Issue 12 - December

Google Scholar : http://tinyurl.com/38at5fd4

Scribd : http://tinyurl.com/56fk2ty2

DOI : https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10422036

Abstract : This research investigated the influence of domestic investments on agricultural production in Nigeria, utilizing time series data encompassing Agricultural production, domestic investment, agricultural land, rural population, and inflation rate sourced from World Development Indicator (WDI) and the IMF financial database spanning from 1981 to 2022. The study applied the Accelerator growth model, focusing on the repercussions of investment inflows on agricultural production. The stationarity of the series was assessed using the Phillips-Perron (PP-test) and Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, affirming that the series were stationary at levels (I(0)) and some at first differences (I(1)). The ARDL method for cointegration was employed, and the bound test results indicated a long-run relationship among the variables. The inferential results demonstrated that domestic investment had a positive impact on agricultural production in Nigeria. However, this impact was deemed insignificant due to the insufficient amount of domestic savings to drive investments into the country. Additionally, the findings revealed that agricultural land and the rural population, constituting a substantial percentage of the Nigerian population, had a positive and significant effect on agricultural production. On the other hand, the inflation rate exhibited a negative and insignificant impact on agricultural production, aligning with the anticipated expectations. In conclusion, the study recommends an increase in domestic investment from various sources, including households, the public sector, and the government, as it holds both short and long-term significant implications for agricultural production. The generation of capital is advised through the promotion of savings, mobilization, and directed investment in productive sectors of the economy, particularly the agricultural sector.

Keywords : Domestic Investments, Agricultural Production, Agricultural Land, Rural Population and Inflation Rate.

This research investigated the influence of domestic investments on agricultural production in Nigeria, utilizing time series data encompassing Agricultural production, domestic investment, agricultural land, rural population, and inflation rate sourced from World Development Indicator (WDI) and the IMF financial database spanning from 1981 to 2022. The study applied the Accelerator growth model, focusing on the repercussions of investment inflows on agricultural production. The stationarity of the series was assessed using the Phillips-Perron (PP-test) and Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, affirming that the series were stationary at levels (I(0)) and some at first differences (I(1)). The ARDL method for cointegration was employed, and the bound test results indicated a long-run relationship among the variables. The inferential results demonstrated that domestic investment had a positive impact on agricultural production in Nigeria. However, this impact was deemed insignificant due to the insufficient amount of domestic savings to drive investments into the country. Additionally, the findings revealed that agricultural land and the rural population, constituting a substantial percentage of the Nigerian population, had a positive and significant effect on agricultural production. On the other hand, the inflation rate exhibited a negative and insignificant impact on agricultural production, aligning with the anticipated expectations. In conclusion, the study recommends an increase in domestic investment from various sources, including households, the public sector, and the government, as it holds both short and long-term significant implications for agricultural production. The generation of capital is advised through the promotion of savings, mobilization, and directed investment in productive sectors of the economy, particularly the agricultural sector.

Keywords : Domestic Investments, Agricultural Production, Agricultural Land, Rural Population and Inflation Rate.

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