Authors :
Meghna Beeram; Mogili Shreyas; Mohana Hiranmayi; Rama Aruna
Volume/Issue :
Volume 11 - 2026, Issue 7 - July
Google Scholar :
https://tinyurl.com/83f7udke
Scribd :
https://tinyurl.com/58jruud6
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/26jul720
Note : A published paper may take 4-5
working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and
ResearchGate.
Abstract :
The prediction of human movement and crowd density is critical for enhancing urban planning and managing
traffic in smart cities. Due to the rise of digital technologies and location data, it has been easier to track how humans interact
in various geographical locations over different time intervals. Unfortunately, static methods and straightforward statistical
models cannot predict crowd movement since they are too rigid to capture the dynamism of real-world scenarios. The
current study aims to present a pragmatic solution to predicting crowd density through a data-driven approach that involves
machine learning and contextual logic. The algorithm relies on location, date, and time inputs to identify key features related
to temporal factors, seasonality, and location attributes. Predictions are initially generated by employing a random forest
regression method before optimizing results using behavioral rules. For better convenience, the proposed method is
implemented within a web interface, which offers not only predictions but also map visualization and hotspots. It helps the
user comprehend the concentration and distribution of crowd density in various locations. Our method is scalable and
applicable in a practical environment as it does not require any costly big data or infrastructural resources. On the whole,
our work shows the benefits of applying machine learning together with logical rules to urban mobility forecasting
problems.
Keywords :
Crowd Density Prediction, Human Mobility, Urban Flow, Machine Learning, Smart Cities, Web-Based System, Geospatial Visualization.
References :
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- J. Lv, Y. Duan, K. Kang, Z. Li, and F. Wang, “Traffic flow prediction with big data: A deep learning approach,” IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, vol. 16, no. 2, pp. 865–873, 2015.
The prediction of human movement and crowd density is critical for enhancing urban planning and managing
traffic in smart cities. Due to the rise of digital technologies and location data, it has been easier to track how humans interact
in various geographical locations over different time intervals. Unfortunately, static methods and straightforward statistical
models cannot predict crowd movement since they are too rigid to capture the dynamism of real-world scenarios. The
current study aims to present a pragmatic solution to predicting crowd density through a data-driven approach that involves
machine learning and contextual logic. The algorithm relies on location, date, and time inputs to identify key features related
to temporal factors, seasonality, and location attributes. Predictions are initially generated by employing a random forest
regression method before optimizing results using behavioral rules. For better convenience, the proposed method is
implemented within a web interface, which offers not only predictions but also map visualization and hotspots. It helps the
user comprehend the concentration and distribution of crowd density in various locations. Our method is scalable and
applicable in a practical environment as it does not require any costly big data or infrastructural resources. On the whole,
our work shows the benefits of applying machine learning together with logical rules to urban mobility forecasting
problems.
Keywords :
Crowd Density Prediction, Human Mobility, Urban Flow, Machine Learning, Smart Cities, Web-Based System, Geospatial Visualization.