Forecasting for Exports and Imports in Indonesia


Authors : Eka Novia Rahmaningrum; Nonong Wahyuni; Nour Fitri; Riska Wulandari; Saniyah; Arisman Adnan

Volume/Issue : Volume 6 - 2021, Issue 12 - December

Google Scholar : http://bitly.ws/gu88

Scribd : https://bit.ly/3Hy1EC7

This article discusses export and import forecasting in Indonesia by using the Classical Additive, Classical Multiplicative, Holt-Winter Additive, and HoltWinter Multiplicative methods. The data used was data on exports and imports in Indonesia in 2014-2020.Export and import data were monthly time-series data. In this research, first, determined the time-series model and the error of each method. The error could be seen as the best method to proceed to forecast. So, the results of this research were forecasting by using the Holt-Winter Additive method for exports and forecasting by using the Holt-Winter Multiplicative method for imports.

Keywords : Export, Import, Classical Additive method, Classical Multiplicative, Holt-Additive ,and Holt-Winter Multiplicative.

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31 - December - 2022

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