Fiscal Deficit of Rajasthan: Trends, Cycles and Seasonal Variation

Authors : Dr. Debesh Bhowmik

Volume/Issue : Volume 5 - 2020, Issue 9 - September

Google Scholar :

Scribd :

DOI : 10.38124/IJISRT20SEP240

The paper has explored the smooth cyclical trend,cycles and seasonal patterns of fiscal deficit in gross and in per cent of net state domestic product of Rajasthan in current prices during 1990-91-2018-19 by applying Hamilton regression filter model(2018) which was also passed through ARIMA(p,d,q) forecasting model for 2030 and was also verified by heteroscedasticity test.Both the fiscal deficits in gross and in per cent of NSDP showed many peaks and troughs in cyclical patterns but only one peak and trough were found in the smooth cyclical trends and the inverse v shaped seasonal fluctuations were visible with no heteroscedasticity problems.Their ARIMA forecast models for 2030 are convergent,significant and move towards equilibrium.

Keywords : Gross Fiscal Deficit, Gross Fiscal Deficit % Of NSDP, Cyclical Trend, Cycles, Seasonal Variation, Hamilton Filter, ARIMA(p,d,q)


Paper Submission Last Date
31 - May - 2022

Paper Review Notification
In 1-2 Days

Paper Publishing
In 2-3 Days

Never miss an update from Papermashup

Get notified about the latest tutorials and downloads.

Subscribe by Email

Get alerts directly into your inbox after each post and stay updated.

Subscribe by RSS

Add our RSS to your feedreader to get regular updates from us.