Determinants of the Dynamic of Households’ Poverty Gap in Vietnam


Authors : Nguyễn Việt Hưng

Volume/Issue : Volume 9 - 2024, Issue 11 - November


Google Scholar : https://tinyurl.com/mud22xjf

Scribd : https://tinyurl.com/22bs9rsj

DOI : https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/IJISRT24NOV773

Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.


Abstract : The study uses the multinomial logit to identify factors affecting the dynamics of household poverty. Results of the analysis indicate that the following factors have improved the household's ability to escape poverty: (i) Male headed household, (ii) Head completed secondary or tertiary education, and (iii) The risk of vulnerability to poverty is low. Meanwhile, factors that have contributed to preventing a poor household from falling into poverty in 2018-2020 are: (i) young to middle-aged (nearly 40 years old), (ii) The head of household is a full spouse; (Iii) Household has large values of property or house; And (iv) Head of household working in a foreign sector.

Keywords : Multinomial Logit, Promotive Effect, Preventive Effect, Poverty.

References :

  1. Edmore Mahembe, Nicholas Odhiambo (2018), The Dynamics of Extreme Poverty in Developing Countries, Studia Universitatis Economics Series Vol 28 Issue 2.
  2. Gaiha R., Imai K., Kang W. (2007), Vulnerability and Poverty Dynamics in Vietnam, Economic Discussion Paper, The University of Manchester.
  3. Patric C., Rosemary B. (2013), Dynamics of Poverty in Developing Countries: Review of Poverty Reduction Approaches, Journal of Sustainable Development Development 6(9): 25-35.
  4. Psacharopoulos G., Patrinos H. A., (2002), Returns to Investment in Education: A further update. Policy Research Working Paper, World Bank.

The study uses the multinomial logit to identify factors affecting the dynamics of household poverty. Results of the analysis indicate that the following factors have improved the household's ability to escape poverty: (i) Male headed household, (ii) Head completed secondary or tertiary education, and (iii) The risk of vulnerability to poverty is low. Meanwhile, factors that have contributed to preventing a poor household from falling into poverty in 2018-2020 are: (i) young to middle-aged (nearly 40 years old), (ii) The head of household is a full spouse; (Iii) Household has large values of property or house; And (iv) Head of household working in a foreign sector.

Keywords : Multinomial Logit, Promotive Effect, Preventive Effect, Poverty.

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